Ligue 1 betting: 3 major factors that lead to a surge in guest wins, these 3 scores frequently come out
8/11/2021 8:58:39 AM
The 2021-22 season of the French Football League is about to kick off. From last season’s Ligue 1 data, the proportion of home wins has a significant decline, and the probability of away wins has greatly increased and it has become the first option. In the new season, with the return of the two newly promoted Clermont and Troyes, they will be directly relegated to 2 seats + the third place from the bottom to participate in the relegation playoffs, which will make the relegation competition even more fierce. In addition, with the victory of Black Marille last season, breaking Paris Saint-Germain's three consecutive championships in your league, the performance of Paris Saint-Germain in the new season is also worth looking forward to! The following is the Ligue 1 betting strategy!
Looking back at the proportion of the probability of winning and losing in Ligue 1 in the past 5 seasons, whether it is the 2019-20 season, which ended early due to the impact of the new crown epidemic, or the other 4 seasons, the proportion of draws tends to be in the range of 25%-26%. More than 30% of the French draws accounted for more than 30% of the data, Ligue 1 draws should not be deliberately pursued, especially in the past four seasons, Paris Saint-Germain has steadily occupied the throne of the least number of draws in Ligue 1.
From the perspective of the proportion of main wins in Ligue 1 in the past 5 seasons, with the advent of the empty field factor, the home field advantage of Ligue 1 has been greatly weakened. In the data comparison of the full season, the 2016-17 season played 186 main wins, accounting for 49.08%; 2017-18 season played 173 games, accounting for 45.53%; 2018-19 season played 164 games, the proportion dropped slightly to 43.16%; 134 games were played in the 2019-20 season, accounting for 48.03%; however, 142 games were played in the 2020-21 season, accounting for only 37.37%. It can be seen that in recent years, the proportion of main wins in Ligue 1 has been difficult to break through the 50% level, and even the so-called home court advantage has shrunk greatly under the influence of the new crown epidemic.
At the same time, we will analyze the results of the scores in the betting games. We have screened 6 score options with a high proportion of draws, and we will find that the home team has won 2-1 games, 1-1 games, and 0-1 games. The data tends to be balanced, which is very consistent with the technical and tactical play of Ligue 1. After all, the number of quasi-strong teams in Ligue 1 is limited, and the relative numbers of mid-range and relegated teams are relatively large. They often use the advantage of home to get the home team in the mode of scoring by both sides. The probability of winning a draw is too high. Another situation is that the home team can't attack for a long time and the visiting team seizes the opportunity to counterattack, and finally loses 0-1.
It is worth mentioning that because the French territory is not large and the geographical distance between each other does not need to be overwhelming, the concept of labor expedition is very small in Ligue 1; in addition, Ligue 1 involves teams competing in the Champions League and Europa due to the continuous confrontation. A week’s double-match physical fitness is not dominant and a rotation of the lineup is required, which adds to the suspense of some so-called strong and weak dialogue sessions. The addition of the European Cup of the new season will undoubtedly make the Ligue 1 teams involved in the battle even more distracting; most importantly, the global new crown The epidemic did not show any signs of improvement, leading to a high probability of open matches in Ligue 1. The lack of popular support from the 12th fans has greatly increased the importance of the home and away teams on the spot. The above three factors have become a Ligue 1 team. The reason for the stalemate between each other.
It is true that there is not much difference in the strength of the teams in the Ligue 1 team. The game is dominated by shallow handicapped situations. The guessing variables are not low. Lottery players can also choose to compete when they are unable to accurately grasp the fundamentals of the team during the betting process. The number of goals is played to avoid the risk of winning and losing. Judging from the distribution of the number of goals scored in Ligue 1 in the past 5 seasons, the number of goals scored 1, 2, and 3 steadily occupy the top 3 ranks, so do not blindly follow. A high number of goals option with high odds.